Economics

Google funds clean energy with upfront capital and “offtake agreements.”
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Google funds clean energy with upfront capital and “offtake agreements.”

EcoTech Note:  Here’s an example of a corporation meeting its commitment to using only “carbon free energy” by supporting new CleanTech generation facilities with upfront investment and an “offtake agreement” — which is a long term contract to buy the electricity created at a pre-set price that allows the investment to be profitable.  #Green_Premium #learning_curve

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In order to help overcome these challenges, and deliver 24/7 carbon-free energy onto the grid where these data centers operate, we’ve worked with Energix Renewables on an investment framework that allows us to invest in, and buy power from, a 1.5 gigawatt (GW) portfolio of new solar projects throughout the Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) grid over the next three years. By providing both investment capital and energy offtake, these projects have a clearer path to construction, bringing the planned construction start of 150 MW of queue backlog from 2025 ahead to 2024.

Solar to be the cheapest source of electricity in most of the world by 2027

Solar to be the cheapest source of electricity in most of the world by 2027

EcoTech Note:  Here’s a great example of a learning curve in action — and real world impacts as it reduces the Green Premium to zero in 2027.  It underscores the importance of non-economic factors like permitting reform, PUC processes and the capital cost of the the new equipment.

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by Dana Nuccitelli, 9/3/24

I just came across this interesting paper, although it was published last October. The authors performed model projections of the cheapest source of electricity in every country over the coming years, including ‘system storage cost (SSC)’, which is basically battery storage, if needed. Right now it’s mostly a mix of wind and solar (although interestingly, in Russia it’s nuclear power), but by 2027 the falling costs of solar + battery storage are expected to become the cheapest source almost everywhere.

Long-Range EVs Now Cost Less Than the Average New Car in the US
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Long-Range EVs Now Cost Less Than the Average New Car in the US

EcoTech Note:   EVs  reduced the Green Premium to zero in terms of operating costs and total costs of ownership a couple years ago.  Now they have even achieved price parity on the upfront capital costs. 

The other, non-economic frictions are still there: lack of charging infrastructure, long charging times, range anxiety, and unfamiliarity.  But if economics = destiny, watch EV sales in the US take off.

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At least three manufacturers — Tesla, Hyundai-Kia and General Motors — now offer EVs with more than 300 miles (480 kilometers) of range for less than the cost of the average new vehicle sold in the US, according to an analysis by Bloomberg Green. The most affordable is Hyundai’s 2024 Ioniq 6, which comes with 361 miles of range and a price tag that’s 25% below the national average of roughly $47,000.

Turbine Blades Have Piled Up in Landfills. A Solution May Be Coming.

Turbine Blades Have Piled Up in Landfills. A Solution May Be Coming.

EcoTech Note:  Here’s a good microeconomics case.  These recyclable wind turbine blades are “3 to 8 percent more expensive than traditional blades.” When retired, they can avoid being tossed into a landfill and be melted (at about 440º F) into an elastic liquid that can be molded into a new shape.

If the Green Premium is calculated on the “total cost of ownership,” the higher upfront cost will be offset by avoided landfill costs and the profit on the sale of the products created from the recycled wind turbine blade.

The blades on the newest wind turbines sweep an area longer than a football field and are nearly impossible to recycle.

At the end of their life span of around 20 years, they are chopped into pieces and buried in a handful of landfills across the Great Plains. But this waste problem from a growing source of low carbon energy could become a headache of the past.

Don’t blame clean energy for rising electric bills

Don’t blame clean energy for rising electric bills

Rising electricity costs are putting American households under increasing financial stress. But clean energy isn’t to blame — even if Republican lawmakers and pro-fossil fuel advocates say otherwise.  :See example.

The real drivers of climbing electricity rates are spikes in fossil gas prices, rising costs to maintain and rebuild aging and stressed grid infrastructure, and a utility business model that incentivizes big capital investments that customers have to pay off over decades.

That’s the conclusion of a new report from think tank Energy Innovation, which takes on one of the favorite talking points of those striving to reverse renewable energy mandates and climate change policies across the country.

Why aren’t 100s of approved projects online?
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Why aren’t 100s of approved projects online?

… “Construction is expected to begin this summer and be completed by the end of 2024,” reported the Wisconsin Rapids Tribune in April 2023.

But construction never began. And this March, the project’s developer asked regulators to give it an extension on its deadline to start building the solar farm. The company cited “delays in the interconnection study process,” setbacks in reaching an agreement to connect to the regional power grid and a three-year waiting period to receive critical pieces of equipment due to supply chain issues.

A milestone in price parity: EVs are less than gas cars

A milestone in price parity: EVs are less than gas cars

Note: The Green Premium (the cost of something done with clean energy divided by the cost of doing the same thing using fossil-fuel-based energy) for EV’s has finally gone negative.  Not only are EVs cheaper than gasoline-powered cars on a “total cost of ownership” basis, but now the upfront capital cost is less, too.

At least three manufacturers — Tesla, Hyundai-Kia and General Motors — now offer EVs with more than 300 miles (480 kilometers) of range for less than the cost of the average new vehicle sold in the US, according to an analysis by Bloomberg Green.

Climate Justice: Improving Electricity Affordability

Climate Justice: Improving Electricity Affordability

Affordable electricity is a major issue in households across the country. According to a report by the US Energy Information Administration, roughly 27% of US households report struggling to pay their energy bills.

At the same time, utility companies are making significant investments to lower their carbon emissions. Join Resources for the Future (RFF) on June 26 for the next event in our series on environmental justice.

About the Money: A New Feature on CCLNV.org

About the Money: A New Feature on CCLNV.org

Editor’s Note: “About the Money” is a new feature for CCLNV.org.  It reports on new technologies (which are “early” and still expensive) and the public policies intended to help them cross the “Valley of [Financing] Death” to a point where innovations, “learning curves” and economies of scale can make them cost-competitive with fossil-fuel-based alternatives.

Here are some stories from RTO Insider, an industry newsletter serving utilities, regulators, transmission planners and others.

Grey Metal Case of Hundred Dollar Bills

What “speed and scale”? Answer: $34 trillion and 26 years

 Note:  We often hear that “the clean energy transition needs to happen at an unprecedented speed and scale.”  Well, how much will is cost?   BloombergNEF has done the calculations and found that the need is $34 trillion by 2050.   BNEF reported that global investment in the low-carbon energy transition surged 17% in 2023 to $1.8 trillion, but it concludes that the pace of this spending needs to accelerate.

Another Unlock for IRA Success:  Immigration Reform?

Another Unlock for IRA Success: Immigration Reform?

Our labor market is tighter than a rotten clam shell, companies in the clean energy sector are already struggling to hire workers, and we’re looking at a job market that, according to the Political Economy Research Institute, could grow to 9 million by the end of the decade.

In short, we won’t be able to unlock the full might of the IRA’s investment capital without the complementary labor capital to build it.

DOE Awards $6 Billion for Green Steel, Cement, Aluminum and other industrial processes
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DOE Awards $6 Billion for Green Steel, Cement, Aluminum and other industrial processes

The industrial sector is responsible for over 25% of greenhouse gas emissions in the US. The 33 projects funded here might demonstrate viable fast pathways to decarbonize these notoriously hard-to-decarbonize sector: cement, alumninum, steel, pastics and a broad range of industrial processes that require heat and sometimes chemistries that create CO2 directly.